publications by year

Selected Publications

My CV can be found here, my Google Scholar page is here and my Research Gate page is here. Links to directly downloadable papers are provided when possible - these are for individual use only; links to journals are also provided, but might not be available to users without campus library access. All papers are available upon request.

Entries in lulc (7)

Wednesday
Feb252015

Teleconnections between land use and wildfire

Butsic, V., M. Kelly and M. A. Moritz. Land Use and Wildfire: A Review of Local Interactions and Teleconnections. Land 2015, 4(1), 140-156; doi:10.3390/land4010140

Fire is a naturally occurring process of most terrestrial ecosystems as well as a tool for changing land use. Since the beginning of history humans have used fire as a mechanism for creating areas suitable for agriculture and settlement. As fires threaten human dominated landscapes, fire risk itself has become a driver of landscape change, impacting landscapes through land use regulations and fire management. Land use changes also influence fire ignition frequency and fuel loads and hence alters fire regimes. The impact of these changes is often exacerbated as new land users demand alternative fire management strategies, which can impact land cover and management far from where land use change has actually occurred. This creates nuanced land use teleconnections between source areas for fires and economic cores, which demand and fund fire protection.

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Wednesday
Dec312014

Agave production as a bioenergy feedstock: a fuzzy GIS model

Fuzzy GIS model for A. tequilaLewis, S., S. Gross, A. Visel, M. Kelly, and W. Morrow. 2015. Fuzzy GIS-based multi-criteria evaluation for U.S. Agave production as a bioenergy feedstock. Global Change Biology - Bioenergy 7:84–99. doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12116

In the United States, renewable energy mandates calling for increased production of cellulosic biofuels will require a diversity of bioenergy feedstocks to meet growing demands. Within the suite of potential energy crops, plants within the genus Agave promise to be a productive feedstock in hot and arid regions. The potential distributions of Agave tequilana and Agave deserti in the United States were evaluated based on plant growth parameters identified in an extensive literature review. A geospatial suitability model rooted in fuzzy logic was developed that utilized a suite of biophysical criteria to optimize ideal geographic locations for this new crop, and several suitability scenarios were tested for each species. The results of this spatially explicit suitability model suggest that there is potential for Agave to be grown as an energy feedstock in the southwestern region of the United States – particularly in Arizona, California, and Texas – and a significant portion of these areas are proximate to existing transportation infrastructure.

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Monday
Nov302009

Large-scale deforestation in Jinotega, Nicaragua: 1978-1999 

Zeledon, E. and M. Kelly. 2009. Understanding large-scale deforestation in southern Jinotega, Nicaragua from 1978 to 1999 through the examination of changes in land use and land cover. Journal of Environmental Management 90: 2866-2872

Keywords: Agricultural frontier . Applied remote sensing . Central America . Forest cover . Postclassification

Tuesday
Aug262008

Land use change: complexities and comparisons

Rindfuss et al. 2008. Journal of Land Use Science. Land use science is now at a crucial juncture in its maturation process. Much has been learned, but the array of factors influencing land use change, the diversity of sites chosen for case studies, and the variety of modeling approaches used by the various case study teams have all combined to make two of the hallmarks of science, generalization and validation, difficult within land use science.

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Sunday
Apr292007

Watershed land use and wetland disturbance

Byrd, et al. 2007. Environmental Management. We show that salt marsh recovery after disturbance depends on relative cover of different land use classes in the watershed, with greater chances of recovery associated with less intensive agriculture.

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Friday
Mar302007

Upland land use influence on wetlands

Byrd and Kelly 2006. Wetlands. This study investigated how changes in salt marsh soil properties and topography on sediment fans related to shifts in salt marsh plant community composition in the Elkhorn Slough Watershed, California, USA.

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Saturday
Dec312005

Watershed-scale land use and salmon habitat

Opperman, et al. 2005. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science. Relationships between land use or land cover and embeddedness, a measure of fine sediment in spawning gravels, were examined at multiple scales across 54 streams in the Russian River Basin, California. The results suggest that coarse-scale measures of watershed land use can explain a large proportion of the variability in embeddedness and that the explanatory power of this relationship increases with watershed size.

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